ᴄʜᴀɴᴄᴇ - ꜰᴏʀꜱᴀᴋᴇɴ

“ 99% of gamblers quit before they win big ” — Purchase Quote “ The sounds of machines promising great rewards spiral within his ears. Gambling with his life, his potential lies inside of the result of his coin. He also wields a shoddy flintlock that feels like it could break at any moment, but it's one that he'll take to his death. ” — Chance's Description Chance is a sentinel survivor, available for 777 Player Points Player Points. An extreme gambling addict—hence his name—he is a high-risk, high-reward survivor who literally gambles with his life to survive. He flips a coin between heads or tails, which can bring either fortune or misfortune. If lucky, he can gain extra health or fire his unstable but powerful flintlock, which stuns the killer if properly aimed. But when unlucky, he may become weaker, have his flintlock misfire, or even explode in his hands, causing severe damage. In Forsaken lore, Chance is an avid gambler who often visited a casino run by the Sonnellino mafia family, maintaining friendly relations with them. However, after winning a rigged game, Chance stole the prize money and fled, severely straining his relationship with the family and leaving him deeply in debt. Now, he is relentlessly pursued by Don Sonnelino—also known as Mafioso and a C00lkidd skin—the head of the family who leads the manhunt. He and his family seek revenge on Chance until the stolen money is returned. Chance appears as a light grey skinned Robloxian sporting the Black Sparkle Time Fedora. They wear Clockwork Headphones and Shades, as well as a black suit and tie to match paired a black belt on. Gameplay Chance is a long-ranged sentinel reliant on the fragile concept of basic luck. With his questionable weapon choice, he can still be a valuable asset. Either thriving with good fortune or suffering in misfortune; luck decides your performance in every round and on every turn with the toss of a coin. Abilities UNPREDICTABLE FATE Passive Ability Cooldown: N/A "TAKE A CHANCE WITH CHAAAANCE BABY" - Chance Chance's max HP stat is set to be a random value of 70-120. COIN FLIP Keybind: Q. Xbox input: Y Cooldown: 0.5s "I gambled with my LIFE" - ??? "did you win though" - Chance Chance flips a coin—if an R appears after the flip, it's heads; if not, tails. Heads: Gain a charge for all other abilities. Tails: Gain 1 stack of Weakness lasting 15 seconds. Each time the coin lands on tails, the Weakness level increases by 1. There is no cap on the Weakness stacks. When Weakness expires naturally, its level does not reset and continues to accumulate. It can only be reset by using Hat Fix. SHOOT Keybind: E. Xbox input: RT Cooldown: 40s "You only have one shot." - Talking Cat Chance pulls out an unreliable flintlock and, after a 1-second windup, pulls the trigger. Upon firing, one of the following outcomes occurs: Flintlock explodes (25% - 15% - 5% chance): Deals 45 damage to Chance and disables the ability indefinitely until repaired using Hat Fix. Flintlock misfires (25% - 15% - 5% chance): The flintlock fails to fire, forcing a cooldown period before it can be used again. Flintlock fires successfully (50% - 70% - 90% chance): Shoots and stuns any killer hit within 90 studs for 1–4 seconds. The stun duration decreases linearly with distance between Chance and the killer. The percentages represent chances at 1, 2, and 3 charges, respectively. For every additional charge of One Shot (i.e., having 2 or 3 charges), the chance of a successful shot increases by 20%, while the chances of explosion and misfire each decrease by 10%. This ability starts with 0 charges and can hold up to 3. Using this ability removes all charges from other abilities. For every additional Chance in the game, the stun duration of the shot is reduced by 15%. REROLL Keybind: R. Xbox input: LT Cooldown: 20s "Just one more go at it and I'll be a millionaire!" - A College Student in Debt Chance rerolls the value of his max Health. Max Health ranges from 60 to 130. This ability starts with 0 charges and can hold up to 3 charges. Using this ability removes all charges from other abilities. It does not directly heal; instead, the percentage of remaining health stays roughly the same. For example, a Chance with 80 out of 90 health (~89% HP) will have about 99 out of 111 health (~89% HP) after the reroll. HAT FIX Keybind: T. Xbox input: LS Cooldown: 60s "This hat demonstrates good taste and exudes class." - Roblox Upon activating this ability, all Weakness stacks inflicted on Chance by Coin Flip are reset to Weakness I. It also removes any existing Weakness debuffs. This ability can only be used after accumulating 3 charges in all other abilities. Using this ability removes all charges from every ability and repairs Chance's gun if it has exploded. Lore Outdated Notice: Chance's lore is being remade. This is an outdated version of their lore, if you want to read all of it and the extra details, you can find it here. Additionally, the document's text is duplicated in the collapsible section below. Canon Chance was once on good terms with the mafia Sonnelino family and often frequented their casino. However, after winning a rigged game and stealing their prize, his relationship with the family soured, leaving him indebted and on the run. Now, the Sonnelinos, led by the mafia kingpin Don Sonnelino, also known as Mafioso, relentlessly hunt him, fueled by revenge and violence until Chance returns the stolen money. Strategy Chancecan be the most vulnerable Sentinel, suffering from requiring luck. However, their stun is better than other Sentinels, being able to work at long range, making it less punishing when hit. Despite this, they can heavily damage themselves or die if their health is too low or if the Weakness stack is too high. Chance performs significantly better if the user plays passively and avoids the killer to get a good shot. Tips If you're new with Chance, it's usually better to hide in an unpopular spot while flipping your coin, since you're incredibly vulnerable doing this. As you get better and better, you must get comfortable doing flips in risky situations so you can help your team immediately. While Chance needs some startup to get his main ability, you should not be afraid of being aggressive with One Shot since Chance is meant to be played like that. It's best to use One Shot at 3 charges, since you get the best odds. Reroll is affected by charges, but only for a trace amount. It's better to use it as soon as you get your first stack, then while waiting for the Reroll cooldown, start going to three charges. Keep using Reroll until your health are adequate, to ensure that you're going to survive if you get chased. Aim for at least 100, however, if you're unlucky then 90+ should be fine. Try your best to protect other survivors with your One Shot ability. Take extra precautions by using Hat Fix when you have a high amount of Weakness stacks. (Weakness 10+ is recommended for this) It's recommended to use Hat Fix after a successful stun/when the killer is not going after you, since you will most likely have enough time to get your stacks back as One Shot refreshes. If you have good stats after rerolling a few times but with a lot of Weakness stacks early-game, it's best to Hat Fix so you don't get too much Weakness flipping your coin for One Shot. It is not recommended to use One Shot if you have a high Weakness level applied. If the gun explodes, you will take a severe amount of damage and potentially die as a result. To be specific, any Weakness X or above can kill you when using One Shot, no matter how much health you have. And obviously any Weakness will increase the high 45 damage (Weakness I = 54, Weakness II = 63, Weakness III = 72, Weakness IV = 81, Weakness V = 90, Weakness VI = 99, Weakness VII = 108, Weakness IIX = 117, Weakness IX = 126, Weakness X = 135) If your cooldown is almost up, and/or your Weakness is nearly gone, it is best to lurk near a chase until you can attempt to use One Shot. But stay cautious in case the killer notices you and attempts to hit you with an unexpected attack. It is not recommended to shoot from long distances since you're more likely to miss the shot. Go for medium or short distance instead because he is meant to be a sniper role. Remember to be alert and exploit killer abilities that keep them still in place, such as C00lkidd Walkspeed Override, John Doe Corrupt Energy and Digital Footprint, and 1x1x1x1's Mass Infection. If you feel brave enough, you can walk towards the killer while not focused on you and use One Shot as close as possible so the stun is as long as it can be, giving your team extra time. Note that this is not advised against John Doe, as his Unstoppable ability caps his stun time at around 2 seconds if used during his Corrupt Energy or Error 404 windup and causes him to gain Speed I for a few seconds, making it easier for him to catch up to you. Your shot can go through walls. If you're on PC, it is recommended to go in first person or use shift lock when using One Shot as it is easier to know where you're aiming at. When you're aiming, try to aim at a killer when they are running directly toward you or when they are not looking at you before shooting. What happens as a result is based on probability/luck. Your shot is also easy to dodge, so be careful. Try to learn how the killer jukes, and adjust accordingly. If you are against Jason, he will likely try to predict when you will use your One Shot ability and counteract it with Raging Pace. However, this can be used against him by facing towards him as if you are about to shoot, though not actually doing so. This will likely bait out his Raging Pace ability and give you a chance to stun him once it runs out. It's not recommended to use One Shot on summoned entities (such as C00lkidd's Pizza Delivery or 1x1x1x1's Zombies) since you can just outrun them very easily. (Except when getting MLG skin) It is highly ill-advised to use Chance's Coin Flip during a chase. It risks Weakness stacks, and it is more than likely that your One Shot ability is still on cooldown. In the situation you got into a chase with Weakness, check the distance between you and the killer, if you are not at 3 stacks and the situation is critical, it's better to keep using Coin Flip until you can use Hat Fix. If you are under within one shot range of the killer's m1 ability, then it is in your best interest to continue using Coin Flip as it has no downsides. If you have a good distance from the killer, save up 3 charges and use One Shot to gain distance or regain stamina. It is not recommended to use this against John Doe's Corrupt Energy or Error 404 windups, due to his reduced stun time. After successfully stunning a killer, walk towards the opposite direction to where the killer is to regenerate stamina, and only start running when your stamina is full or the killer has recovered. After Weakness V, any attack from any killer is able to put you into critical state, remember each stack is a 20% increased damage you are giving to the killer, don't sleep on it. The gun actually has more than 1 hitbox. If you move your camera around a lot while using the gun, you can see that it will have more hitboxes. This means you can increase the AOE if you move your mouse during the shot. Chance can actually shoot through entities, so when, for example, when C00lkidd is using Pizza Delivery, you can shoot the killer from the side to both kill the clones and stun the killer, making One Shot devastating. Additionally, shooting two minions and the Killer in a single shot grants MLG Chance and the OH BABY A TRIPLE achievement. How To Counter Chance is an easy target during early game, due to having lower health than normal and the Chance has likely used coin flip, meaning they probably have Weakness. Getting stunned by him can be quite unexpected due to his long range distance and lack of sound cue, but it will be less effective the further he is away from you so they will usually only stun you for 1-2 seconds(unless you're chasing them directly). If you ever see a Chance turn and start aiming at you, making sure to move either left or right as his hitbox is long but thin, and he his likely to miss the shot and you get a free hit on him. If you're Jason however, you can use Raging Pace to deny said stun, though you have to react quick. If you are chasing Chance, amateur Chance players will attempt to use Chance's Favor as they are being chased, if you ever see this and have good headphones/good audio, you can listen for whether or not they flipped heads or tails. This gives you a cue on when to attack them. More often than not, they will already have a good stack of weakness and a melee can take half their health. Chance can be an extremely easy target or a dangerously powerful sentinel based on luck, always assume the latter. If you're about to lose, you can try and hit a Chance to try and shoot them to gain valuable time. Trivia Chance is the only character to not have a specific difficulty rating. Chance was added during the last testing phase. When Chance was first added, he was able to reroll his stamina along with his health (both independent from each other) Chance would roll a random number between 80 and 109, either giving him the lowest stamina in the game or allowing him to almost have the same stamina as the killers (110). The ability to roll stamina was removed during The Objective Update (Update 1.2.0) on 1/19/25 and is currently fixed at 100. Chance is the most unique Survivor in the game. He has the most abilities for a Survivor, with a passive and 4 abilities. He is also the only survivor with the ability to change his max HP, albeit with luck. Chance technically simultaneously has the highest and lowest HP due to his Reroll and passive. Chance is nonbinary, going by he/they pronouns.[1] Chance description is based off of the meme "99% of gamblers quit before they win it big". This is referenced across the game multiple times, varying from achievements to dialogue. Chance owes Bluudud a donation, as said in one of the voicelines of Bluudud. This is reference to how Bluudud may be a streamer. Chance has the most number of specific badges in the game. Chance is the most expensive survivor in the game so far, costing 777$. 777 is the number usually referred to a jackpot. It's also referenced in his difficulty. Chance is "cool, calm, sometimes smug" and "lowkey a chill guy." He is also a smooth-talker who "often doesn't take things too seriously."[1] Chance thinks the rounds are just taking risks and sees it as a challenge, like gambling.[1] Chance is "buddies" with iTrapped.[1] Chance has thought Noob was iTrapped before.[2] Chance is one of the wealthiest survivors in the game.[1] Chance has little to no experience in shooting outside of Russian Roulette.[1] Chance has dabbled in gambling before.[1] Chance almost always wears glasses "for some reason."[1] Chance owns a lot of Roblox limited items, although most of them are fedoras.[1] Chance's Reroll sound effect comes from Library of Ruina's "snap" sound effect. Chance had the highest single hit damage from a survivor, dealing 50 damage upon a successful shot. Before that, he was able to deal 60 damage upon a successful shot, but this video got the damage nerfed. His damage was both tied and surpassed by Two Time. Chance's gun, ironically, is far more reliable than Two Time's backstab, given you are a good shot. The flintlock at 3 charges has a 90% chance to fire, and is far less likely to be punished if missed. The backstab is also remarkably harder to land. Chance is the first character to get an official announcement about merch. Chance is ambidextrous.[3] Chance likes bunnies. [4] Chance owns a bunny with black fur. [5] The bunny's name is Spade. [6] The name Spade is most likely a reference to the card, often used in many casino games. The bunny is a continental giant.[7] Chance owns a casino he also gambles in.[8][1] Because of this, Chance is good at detecting fraudulent casinos. Notably, his own casino is quite fair as well, shockingly enough.[9] Chance loads the gun with extra gunpowder because he finds it fun.[10] This is probably why his gun can explode upon a bad roll. [11] Chance plays the piano and does so in spare time when he isn't gambling or being lazy and unproductive.[12] Chance can play one song with his eyes closed. It's "Twinkle, Twinkle, Little Star."[13] Chance smiles during rounds because he has a poker face.[14] Chance takes his sunglasses off exclusively in the comfort of his home. His personality type is ENFP (Extroverted, Intuitive, Feeling, Prospecting).[15] Chance likes everyone, but Two Time does spook him a tad bit. Chance has a big interest in the unique limited Azure uses.[16] If someone using Chance uses the "Miss The Quiet" Emote, then Chance's fedora will be on top of the fedora you get from the emote. The "Talking Cat" in the description of One Shot may be a reference to Niko from the puzzle game OneShot, originally made for a GameJam. Niko however isn't the one that says this - The World Machine is. The quote on Chance's Favor may be a reference to Jujutsu Kaisen, specifically Hakari, a character who has abilities greatly inspired by gambling. He is the escapee found in Classic Canyon, the collaboration map between Flood Escape 2 and Forsaken, and a skin in the Doomed 2 Die collaboration. However, as of August 4, 2025, Flood Escape 2 has updated the map, and replaced the escapee into Two Time. Chance's height depends on how lucky he is each day, ranging from 4' to 6'.[17] Chance is the first (and currently only) character in Forsaken to receive a plushie and merchandise. Please note you must be 18+ or have permission from a legal adult to purchase his plushie. Chance would have never been written to be a gold-digging gambler. He would have been greedy somewhat. Chance's parents would be helicopter parents so he wouldn't really pay attention to anything they would tell him about how to run the casino. So when he got the casino he didn't know how to run it well so he would laze around or be unproductive. (like gambling at his own casino) Chance's parents would always monitor and judge every little thing Chance did. They did it out of love but to Chance, he felt trapped and would often find himself in the wrong crowd which led him to dangerous situations that always ended with him getting sent back to his parents' house with no repercussions. Chance and Mafioso are not cousins, despite what some others might have said as this is misinformation.[18] Chance currently has the most achievement skins in the game, these being ULTRAKILL, Mirror, and MLG. Gallery Gameplay Other Chance's model from the front. Chance's model from the front. Chance's model from the back. Chance's model from the back. Chance while taking damage. Chance while taking damage. Chance while under 50% HP. Chance while under 50% HP. Chance whilst dead. Chance whilst dead. Chance using the "I Miss the Quiet" emote. Chance using the "I Miss the Quiet" emote. Chance after successfully using One Shot. Chance after successfully using One Shot. Chance after unsuccessfully using One Shot. Chance after unsuccessfully using One Shot. Chance before the gun explodes on him. Chance before the gun explodes on him. Chance after the gun explodes on him. Chance after the gun explodes on him. Chance successfully using Chance's Favor. Chance successfully using Chance's Favor. Chance unsuccessfully using Chance's Favor (results in Weakness) Chance unsuccessfully using Chance's Favor (results in Weakness) Chance unsuccessfully using Chance's Favor. Chance unsuccessfully using Chance's Favor. References Chrisaken day three (chance) cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1333022996217991261/1333023239097684029 https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338625035509694539 Itrapped=noob Chance flips coins with his right hand, and fires his flintlock with his left. Chance bunny cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338494281324691458 Pets cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338499658095530006 Chance bunny cite electric boogaloo https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338626159365066856 Chance bunny cite 3 PLEASE NO MORE BUNNIES https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338628057053003926 Chance casino ownership https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338459561174106173 Chance casino https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338626808094003292 Chance gunpowder cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338504026731446393 wikipedia:Gunpowder Chance piano cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338488036249309214 Chance piano cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338510042076282930 Chance poker face cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338504478801788948 Chance personality cite https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338473144410701928 https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338485502327783435 https://discord.com/channels/1273022636053499914/1309609549489115156/1338494854086267005 https://x.com/LuzmonadeYaouri/status/1945083640930594818